Diesel367233
0xe36719bc4a299457fff8b83189eecbabeced6f34
- Realised P&L
- $-11.23
- Volume
- $107.5k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · No | 0.997 | 0.967 | $6.00 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.59at 0.748Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 8?
- +$0.23at 0.974Chris Christie charged in 2025?
- +$0.16at 0.960Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by November 30?
- +$0.12at 0.930PartyDAO airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.12at 0.987Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:35 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $6.19 |
| 09-09 12:35 | Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026? | SELL | 0.944 | $8.54 |
| 08-09 01:27 | Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999996 | $9.00 |
| 07-23 02:28 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $8.89 |
| 06-07 04:20 | Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $8.10 |
| 06-07 04:19 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $1.58 |
| 05-14 04:34 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.9709996424 | $1.61 |
| 05-14 04:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.974 | $9.18 |
| 04-09 12:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9679999975 | $9.12 |
| 04-06 02:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.08 |
| 03-18 01:32 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999987 | $8.97 |
| 03-14 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 13? | BUY | 0.9979999853 | $8.95 |
| 02-24 23:58 | Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 60 and 69 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.94 |
| 02-24 23:57 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $8.94 |
| 02-09 13:50 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.9829999996 | $8.94 |