0xe364213f10c901f9a03a7f9ed344966a9274ef0a
0xe364213f10c901f9a03a7f9ed344966a9274ef0a
- Realised P&L
- $-12.86
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $20.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.125 | $12.75 | −$7.25 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.150 | $8.06 | −$1.94 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 6? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.44at 0.315Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$36.47at 0.615Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.84at 0.328Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$1.64at 0.613Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?
- +$0.40at 0.959Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:00 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1960784314 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 02:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 14:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 14:00 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1859999878 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 23:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.009 | $18.00 |
| 08-06 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 17:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | SELL | 0.76 | $11.40 |
| 08-05 03:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.58 | $8.70 |
| 07-19 17:20 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4129999696 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 00:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999968 | $55.00 |
| 07-15 19:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2925000032 | $27.50 |
| 07-14 18:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3049999839 | $9.00 |
| 07-07 17:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.00 |
| 07-06 16:40 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 04:42 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |