PolyBot

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Traders

0xe364213f10c901f9a03a7f9ed344966a9274ef0a

0xe364213f10c901f9a03a7f9ed344966a9274ef0a

Realised P&L
$-12.86
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$20.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1960.125$12.75−$7.25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1860.150$8.06−$1.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$18.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 6? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 17:00Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1960784314$20.00
09-06 02:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 6?BUY0.4799999952$20.00
08-18 14:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.009$5.00
08-18 14:00Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1859999878$10.00
08-06 23:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.009$18.00
08-06 17:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.4499999921$20.00
08-06 17:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?SELL0.76$11.40
08-05 03:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?BUY0.58$8.70
07-19 17:20Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4129999696$5.00
07-16 00:00Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5799999968$55.00
07-15 19:08Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2925000032$27.50
07-14 18:43Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3049999839$9.00
07-07 17:56Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.92$9.00
07-06 16:40Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.4$20.00
06-20 04:42Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8099999931$20.00