PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

rabbbygoodod

0xe362d2f078f2d163f22d4f4aef28979b32fc602b

Realised P&L
$86.09
Volume
$167.2k
Markets traded
369
Open portfolio
$8.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded369
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.3100.145$7.25−$8.25
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8860.064$0.34−$4.43
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1710.012$0.24−$3.15
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.4050.002$0.16−$32.24
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0240.001$0.05−$1.15
Will Joblife Win Emea Challengers Stage · Yes0.1060.000$0.00−$8.52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 5? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$11.20
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$13.60
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$26.40
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$0.43
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$3.84
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05? · No0.0780.000$0.00−$18.80
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election? · No0.5320.000$0.00−$42.60
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.24
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 05:22Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?SELL0.259$15.53
07-11 05:22Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2SELL0.3868316667$23.21
06-28 15:06Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 30?BUY0.53$10.60
06-08 12:28Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?BUY0.2$4.00
06-05 11:01SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?BUY0.85$42.50
06-04 08:05US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY0.2$20.00
05-28 10:38Israel closes its airspace by May 31?SELL0.079$7.90
05-26 14:13US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?SELL0.44$22.00
05-06 11:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.1$2.10
04-28 05:41Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?SELL0.59$19.85
04-11 10:38Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?BUY0.82$41.00
04-11 10:38Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?BUY0.83$41.50
04-05 13:34Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.91$47.96
04-03 14:37Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?SELL0.73$36.50
04-03 14:35Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?SELL0.67$13.40