rabbbygoodod
0xe362d2f078f2d163f22d4f4aef28979b32fc602b
- Realised P&L
- $86.09
- Volume
- $167.2k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $8.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.360Hornets vs. Bulls
- +$784.86at 0.500Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$667.00at 0.722Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$510.58at 0.150Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
- +$281.58at 0.610Bears vs. Rams
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 05:22 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.259 | $15.53 |
| 07-11 05:22 | Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | SELL | 0.3868316667 | $23.21 |
| 06-28 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 06-08 12:28 | Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 06-05 11:01 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 06-04 08:05 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-28 10:38 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.079 | $7.90 |
| 05-26 14:13 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 05-06 11:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.10 |
| 04-28 05:41 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | SELL | 0.59 | $19.85 |
| 04-11 10:38 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 04-11 10:38 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 04-05 13:34 | Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $47.96 |
| 04-03 14:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 04-03 14:35 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |