oooopppppsssssss
0xe3627a9d495d16900ac4cfd62591c2450ffe400b
- Realised P&L
- $-416.45
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $180.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.018 | $180.00 | +$5.02 |
| Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.95 |
| Winning candidate also wins popular vote? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.60 |
| Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.50 |
| Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.59 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 08:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.017 | $84.92 |
| 11-03 16:26 | Winning candidate also wins popular vote? | BUY | 0.32 | $121.60 |
| 11-01 15:41 | Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $8.83 |