0xe36021235bb4537E913Fe05523883bC3F28E76f8-1725015015379
0xe36021235bb4537e913fe05523883bc3f28e76f8
- Realised P&L
- $-114.32
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $23.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.21at 0.510Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.17at 0.089Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$6.47at 0.490Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.12at 0.261Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.70at 0.530Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 16:25 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 10-30 16:22 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.422 | $8.47 |
| 10-30 16:21 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-30 16:21 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 06-18 18:25 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 06-18 18:25 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.203 | $3.05 |
| 06-18 18:24 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.72 |
| 06-18 18:24 | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%? | BUY | 0.062 | $0.90 |
| 06-18 18:22 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 06-01 11:12 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0283434469 | $3.19 |
| 06-01 11:11 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 05-30 00:24 | Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? | SELL | 0.4496891892 | $3.33 |
| 05-18 10:28 | Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 10:28 | Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 05-17 21:21 | Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.73 |