0xe35f8d8178ef14c6e589fb1ffe4a0bdecdf79870
0xe35f8d8178ef14c6e589fb1ffe4a0bdecdf79870
- Realised P&L
- $-5.16
- Volume
- $185.78
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $4.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.130 | 1.000 | $4.06 | +$3.53 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena · Facundo Mena | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
| Germany vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.760 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.88at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$0.79at 0.522Porto 2: Francisco Rocha vs Lui Maxted
- +$-1.02at 0.592Porto 2: Joao Domingues vs Vadym Ursu
- +$-1.04at 0.208Will Jordan win on 2026-09-27?
- +$-1.05at 0.073Will Syria win on 2026-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0952380952 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $1.97 |
| 09-27 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $1.40 |
| 09-27 20:49 | Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:49 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.75 |
| 09-27 20:21 | Germany vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:20 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.03 |
| 09-27 20:07 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.01 |
| 09-27 19:42 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.59 | $0.01 |
| 09-27 19:39 | Porto 2: Joao Domingues vs Vadym Ursu | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:38 | Porto 2: Francisco Rocha vs Lui Maxted | SELL | 0.93 | $1.81 |