PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

third1

0xe35f6fefedda54dfa5e4ca1d86855b1ab37eaf3a

Realised P&L
$117.46
Volume
$94.9k
Markets traded
1,842
Open portfolio
$15.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,842
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 20? · Yes0.4800.440$3.52$0.32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 20? · Yes0.3800.375$1.88$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.2700.285$1.43+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 20? · Yes0.2500.270$1.35+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.3000.270$1.35$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 21? · Yes0.2400.230$1.15$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 21? · Yes0.2200.215$1.07$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 20? · Yes0.2300.215$1.07$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20? · Yes0.1340.125$1.04$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.2000.205$1.02+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20? · Yes0.2000.160$0.80$0.20
Solana Up or Down - September 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$0.45
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$0.15
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00$0.80
XRP Up or Down - September 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00$2.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 10:10Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 20?BUY0.48$3.84
09-20 10:10Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?BUY0.1340170917$1.12
09-20 09:54Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 20?BUY0.38$1.90
09-20 09:54Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 20?BUY0.25$1.25
09-20 09:41Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.2$1.00
09-20 09:41Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.24$1.20
09-20 09:41Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.22$1.10
09-20 09:39Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.27$1.35
09-20 09:39Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.3$1.50
09-20 09:39Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.2$1.00
09-20 09:39Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.2299999879$1.14
09-20 05:20Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.24$1.97
09-20 05:19Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20?SELL0.6865646259$4.04
09-20 05:19Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?SELL0.92$6.13
09-20 04:20Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 20?BUY0.9399999887$5.00