chocolate123
0xe35dfe51d8288ea409ea18a139f188a83b33f5d5
- Realised P&L
- $19.4k
- Volume
- $2.60M
- Markets traded
- 2,070
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,070
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.048Another Biden beach day in September?
- +$588.79at 0.200Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?
- +$512.20at 0.096Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?
- +$435.00at 0.729Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?
- +$423.39at 0.164Will Trump post 100-119 times on Truth Feb 21-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 09-17 22:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $18.22 |
| 09-16 04:55 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $20.27 |
| 09-16 02:04 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.228 | $4.51 |
| 09-15 06:13 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $8.36 |
| 09-15 01:06 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1870779847 | $31.45 |
| 09-11 21:17 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.0k |
| 09-11 05:24 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $35.25 |
| 09-11 05:08 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $47.00 |
| 09-10 14:31 | Will Swim – BTS be the #2 song for 2026? | BUY | 0.0044094677 | $0.24 |
| 09-10 08:24 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $196.14 |
| 09-09 18:02 | Will Eminem be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.0010205255 | $0.25 |
| 09-09 18:01 | Will Bruno Mars be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.0049358178 | $0.69 |
| 09-09 18:01 | Will Eminem be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.0041445402 | $1.01 |
| 09-08 13:29 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $21.00 |