PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Geopolitician008

0xe35da822997dd3aeb1d7304d0d807c63d9110de2

Realised P&L
$-195.74
Volume
$177.1k
Markets traded
349
Open portfolio
$241.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded349
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes0.6330.475$142.50$47.50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? · Yes0.3000.305$61.00+$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.3200.375$37.50+$5.50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$11.00
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$9.10
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.6270.000$0.00$42.60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.67
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:05Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.9806646234$526.33
09-16 08:10Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?SELL0.64$128.00
09-16 04:22Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?SELL0.28$559.98
09-14 12:08Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 15?BUY0.989$197.80
09-12 07:22Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.938$281.40
09-11 09:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 12?BUY0.98895835$197.79
09-09 00:45Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.984$196.80
09-09 00:40Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.921$92.10
08-31 04:25Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.933$93.30
08-29 06:16Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.976$195.20
08-20 03:30Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.991$198.20
08-18 03:34Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.360576$36.06
08-16 02:53Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.27$27.00
08-16 02:53Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.4$40.00
08-15 16:51Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 1 - 1 Getafe CF?BUY0.15$15.00