PolyBot

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Traders

0xe3593ab9fbc95c825258ce6b4ce977c00cd24128

0xe3593ab9fbc95c825258ce6b4ce977c00cd24128

Realised P&L
$-2.01
Volume
$810.86
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$139.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.7800.755$19.36−$0.64
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.3410.364$10.67+$0.67
Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers0.6800.655$5.78−$0.22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3700.375$5.07+$0.07
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31? · Yes0.7900.785$4.97−$0.03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2900.285$4.91−$0.09
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.1900.185$4.87−$0.13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1000.095$4.75−$0.25
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · No0.1600.150$4.69−$0.31
Heat vs. Magic · Heat0.2700.300$4.44+$0.44
Raptors vs. Knicks · Knicks0.6200.645$4.16+$0.16
Thunder vs. Rockets · Thunder0.6020.615$4.08+$0.08
Kings vs. Spurs · Spurs0.7310.745$4.08+$0.08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3200.325$4.06+$0.06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? · Yes0.9000.910$4.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:51Nuggets vs. ClippersBUY0.5299999868$10.00
10-15 02:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.32$4.00
10-15 02:58US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-15 02:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8$4.00
10-15 02:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.87$4.00
10-15 02:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.879999912$4.00
10-15 02:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.9$4.00
10-15 02:46Nuggets vs. ClippersBUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-15 02:36Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0419999997$1.00
10-15 02:35Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2219999879$4.00
10-15 02:35Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0789999991$4.00
10-15 02:35Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0909999999$4.00
10-15 02:33Kings vs. SpursBUY0.7307017954$4.00
10-15 02:33Raptors vs. PistonsBUY0.6122096022$4.00
10-15 02:33Celtics vs. 76ersBUY0.6799999955$6.00