0xe34b8deb3de95e27dc8b9d915d53aa42ca7203a3
0xe34b8deb3de95e27dc8b9d915d53aa42ca7203a3
- Realised P&L
- $25.2k
- Volume
- $496.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.525 | $7.9k | −$225.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.5kat 0.174Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$10.1kat 0.116Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$2.0kat 0.158Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$542.69at 0.084UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)
- +$6.51at 0.525Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:46 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.5310051964 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 18:26 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.54 | $563.00 |
| 10-29 02:19 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.04 | $2.7k |
| 10-29 01:31 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.19 | $5.0k |
| 10-29 00:35 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.35 | $15.0k |
| 10-28 02:53 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.4585378407 | $27.1k |
| 10-28 02:34 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.43 | $17.4k |
| 10-28 02:27 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.56 | $28.0k |
| 10-28 01:30 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.42 | $20.0k |
| 10-25 03:09 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.86 | $22.8k |
| 10-25 00:29 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.17 | $3.0k |
| 10-25 00:26 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.17 | $4.2k |
| 10-16 02:42 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.69 | $12.5k |
| 10-16 00:49 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.11 | $2.0k |
| 10-15 02:22 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.86 | $2.5k |