42usdc
0xe3428f649f3673c631299745971ea626bd2bac61
- Realised P&L
- $28.00
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $580.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.811 | 0.980 | $570.93 | +$98.37 |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.175 | $9.21 | −$0.79 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · Dplus KIA | 0.576 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.19at 0.712Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?
- +$23.09at 0.812Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$21.91at 0.906Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$19.47at 0.810Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$19.10at 0.778Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 05:02 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 05:02 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 05:02 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8163671657 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 04:52 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-24 04:36 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.7874800624 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 02:44 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.7980049875 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 02:29 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8299999979 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 02:29 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8159203946 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 02:29 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.809999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 01:23 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.809999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 01:22 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.809999997 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 01:22 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.7899999978 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 00:58 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.86 | $14.36 |
| 09-23 12:18 | Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 00:21 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8044966422 | $99.00 |