forma
0xe33f935bf5652c1854d87598420d6aac39eeaffd
- Realised P&L
- $-49.96
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $17.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.035 | $17.78 | −$33.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.07at 0.972Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$6.24at 0.985US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
- +$6.09at 0.755Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$3.21at 0.310Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
- +$1.18at 0.935Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-25 06:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.80 |
| 02-20 11:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.80 |
| 02-20 11:20 | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 02-20 11:20 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299998159 | $5.00 |
| 02-20 11:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.935 | $8.80 |
| 02-08 10:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8499999416 | $8.00 |
| 01-26 14:37 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999966 | $35.43 |
| 10-07 06:14 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.8799999876 | $22.80 |
| 07-09 04:27 | Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? | BUY | 0.2563627118 | $28.08 |
| 06-13 10:04 | Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | BUY | 0.3099999931 | $24.87 |
| 05-08 10:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.7549999958 | $18.78 |
| 04-02 08:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April? | BUY | 0.967999983 | $18.18 |
| 03-03 15:17 | Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | BUY | 0.9349999986 | $17.00 |
| 03-03 15:16 | Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | SELL | 0.981 | $129.73 |
| 02-22 09:17 | Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | BUY | 0.98 | $129.60 |