scher1977
0xe333466e73a7a12e647995da42af38a84fc95457
- Realised P&L
- $5.37
- Volume
- $155.84
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $34.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.5 · No | 0.470 | 1.000 | $10.38 | +$5.50 |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.280 | $7.41 | +$2.41 |
| Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.116 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Carlos Portinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.298 | $4.28 | +$1.28 |
| Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.305 | $3.81 | −$1.19 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $3.25 | −$1.75 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:06 | Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1186290787 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 01:06 | Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 01:08 | Will Carlos Portinho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | BUY | 0.2089999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 01:07 | Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 01:01 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.1890344088 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 22:44 | Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.5 | BUY | 0.4699999674 | $2.88 |
| 09-29 22:44 | Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.5 | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |