baidanyti
0xe32d3043eabe6c553eab9decc5452f7a35a2ed90
- Realised P&L
- $-83.03
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $20.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.061 | $20.50 | +$10.50 |
| Will Solana dip to $120 by January 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.84 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? · No | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.27at 0.520Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$20.07at 0.620Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$15.97at 0.850Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?
- +$-53.00at 0.390Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 06:52 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 19:04 | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BUY | 0.8499999991 | $90.50 |
| 01-09 19:03 | Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 19:02 | Will Solana dip to $120 by January 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.0735905425 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 18:59 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.015 | $24.00 |
| 01-09 18:58 | Bitcoin all time high by January 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $144.50 |
| 01-03 15:00 | Bitcoin all time high by January 31? | BUY | 0.6199999993 | $124.43 |
| 01-03 14:57 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SELL | 0.62 | $124.43 |
| 01-02 03:52 | Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.84 |
| 01-02 03:51 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SELL | 0.62 | $50.84 |
| 11-12 00:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November? | BUY | 0.3899999981 | $53.00 |
| 11-10 20:43 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $147.00 |