PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Contradict

0xe32b46a28b649031939a78ee47fca260758a626e

Realised P&L
$-9.8k
Volume
$171.6k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$925.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · No0.1400.171$426.25+$76.25
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.2830.235$161.90−$33.20
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? · No0.1400.048$159.46−$310.52
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.1780.205$83.36+$10.86
Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? · No0.1980.029$53.77−$318.99
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.2220.100$27.09−$32.99
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · No0.2700.046$11.95−$58.17
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · No0.2220.005$1.27−$50.23
Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$22.88
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$317.79
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? · No0.1980.000$0.00−$516.65
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? · No0.1890.000$0.00−$470.69
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · No0.4370.000$0.00−$402.05
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B? · No0.1380.000$0.00−$134.46
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$41.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 03:14Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?BUY0.14$350.00
09-07 03:11Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?BUY0.1627301229$190.49
09-06 04:09Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?BUY0.3113676772$68.30
09-06 04:08Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?BUY0.1975629094$372.77
09-05 05:35Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.222234015$51.51
09-05 05:34Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.146147427$147.11
09-02 13:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$469.80
09-02 13:28Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?BUY0.14$469.98
09-02 13:27Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.1783019796$72.51
09-02 13:27Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.2218089859$60.08
09-01 01:15Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.2831904085$195.10
08-22 01:00Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?BUY0.3789193246$315.53
08-22 00:59Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?BUY0.3307378529$137.43
08-22 00:57Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.32$481.92
08-21 01:12Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?BUY0.1896026595$143.15