Nimbler
0xe318e14dddbeea7ed7bb466e671a6ca0e73abe48
- Realised P&L
- $-21.20
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakuten Monkeys vs. TSG Hawks · Rakuten Monkeys | 0.620 | 0.275 | $1.77 | −$2.23 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 4AM ET · Up | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Lightning vs. Senators · Lightning | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.30 |
| Rams vs. Bears · Bears | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning · Lightning | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.80 |
| Flames vs. Capitals · Flames | 0.369 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.99at 0.560Heat vs. Rockets
- +$14.08at 0.390LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
- +$11.44at 0.680Hornets vs. Celtics
- +$11.13at 0.600Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
- +$10.00at 0.600Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 05:36 | Rakuten Monkeys vs. TSG Hawks | BUY | 0.619999969 | $4.00 |
| 06-18 04:19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.5999999928 | $16.70 |
| 05-28 03:33 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.55 | $14.30 |
| 05-11 05:21 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 04-15 06:02 | Rangers vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.529999994 | $23.80 |
| 04-07 08:39 | Lightning vs. Senators | BUY | 0.4599999928 | $28.00 |
| 04-07 08:34 | Hornets vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.6799999933 | $23.83 |
| 03-21 08:50 | Heat vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.5599999912 | $22.90 |
| 03-09 04:08 | Flames vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.3690015773 | $13.00 |
| 02-09 09:54 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals | BUY | 0.3899999749 | $9.00 |
| 01-15 07:20 | Miami vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.75 | $8.70 |
| 01-15 07:19 | Rams vs. Bears | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 12-02 09:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.7099998817 | $1.50 |
| 11-07 06:40 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9769999473 | $11.30 |
| 11-07 06:38 | Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | SELL | 0.997 | $165.03 |