Late4CakeJohn
0xe3164027a2be859579fcd84fce34513f0bc9bcf9
- Realised P&L
- $42.53
- Volume
- $286.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,055
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,055
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on October 8? · No | 0.991 | 0.994 | $217.64 | +$0.66 |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No | 0.977 | 0.998 | $216.99 | +$4.46 |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · No | 0.979 | 0.953 | $214.51 | −$5.85 |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.996 | $213.60 | +$4.72 |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No | 0.967 | 0.962 | $211.78 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.00at 0.940Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
- +$9.79at 0.962Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Colombia?
- +$9.37at 0.962Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
- +$9.31at 0.963Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?
- +$9.23at 0.962Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 15:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.91 |
| 10-07 15:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $109.02 |
| 10-06 17:39 | Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.965 | $213.56 |
| 10-06 06:08 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.976678737 | $212.81 |
| 10-05 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.92 |
| 10-05 09:02 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $212.27 |
| 10-05 01:03 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 10-03 00:16 | Will India win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.987 | $211.37 |
| 10-01 23:59 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $210.63 |
| 10-01 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9699091541 | $41.85 |
| 10-01 02:24 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $210.33 |
| 09-30 19:51 | Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $160.33 |
| 09-29 18:30 | Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $209.62 |
| 09-29 03:43 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $209.54 |
| 09-28 23:20 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $209.86 |