0xe315aaf1fccd5fab2a1a67d5c5d471ca59446d40
0xe315aaf1fccd5fab2a1a67d5c5d471ca59446d40
- Realised P&L
- $21.61
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $27.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.480 | $9.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.285 | $4.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.026 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.011 | $0.93 | −$1.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.76at 0.333Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?
- +$6.51at 0.595Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
- +$6.15at 0.344Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-28?
- +$5.77at 0.480Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$4.15at 0.718Will France win on 2026-09-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 15:51 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 15:48 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 15:46 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 15:44 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 20:09 | Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.05 |
| 09-26 14:17 | Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:56 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 12:53 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 20:59 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 20:55 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 17:41 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 17:40 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0219999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:57 | Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |