PolyBot

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Traders

0xe315aaf1fccd5fab2a1a67d5c5d471ca59446d40

0xe315aaf1fccd5fab2a1a67d5c5d471ca59446d40

Realised P&L
$21.61
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$27.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will England win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.4900.480$9.80−$0.20
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4600.455$4.95−$0.05
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4500.445$4.94−$0.06
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.3000.285$4.75−$0.25
Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.0260.026$2.01+$0.01
Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.0250.011$0.93−$1.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 15:51Will Luxembourg win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.299999994$5.00
09-29 15:48Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.4899999824$10.00
09-29 15:46Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-29 15:44Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-27 20:09Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03?SELL0.05$0.05
09-26 14:17Will Namibia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-26 12:56Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.3899999717$4.00
09-26 12:53Will England win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.25$4.00
09-25 20:59Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.32$3.00
09-25 20:55Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3599999971$5.00
09-25 17:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.4$1.00
09-25 17:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-25 17:41Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0229999999$1.00
09-25 17:40Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0219999997$1.00
09-25 13:57Bucknell vs. PittsburghBUY0.002$1.00