PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe314952d212870e3dc4913964fd789b2d7eabd91

Realised P&L
$-16.75
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$7.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$7.50$7.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.1640.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Down0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.8100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.8100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 10:28Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$15.00
08-16 07:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.99$1.00
08-16 06:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-16 06:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.98$1.00
08-16 06:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.2$1.00
08-16 02:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.98$1.00
08-11 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.7299999679$5.00
08-11 22:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.5399999903$10.00
08-11 22:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.7199999856$10.00
08-11 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.9$5.00
08-11 22:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.4899999814$10.00
08-11 22:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.5799999861$10.00
08-11 22:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.88$11.00
08-11 21:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-06 14:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.7899999289$2.00