PolyBot

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Traders

0xe3146f0d45bf382fbe49fc591a360fc365befa2c

0xe3146f0d45bf382fbe49fc591a360fc365befa2c

Realised P&L
$77.05
Volume
$23.3k
Markets traded
447
Open portfolio
$150.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded447
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will France win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.6700.645$64.50−$2.50
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.5800.505$50.50−$7.50
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05? · Yes0.3300.355$35.50+$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 14:46Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.33$33.00
10-05 14:45Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.58$58.00
10-05 14:45Will France win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.67$67.00
10-04 20:38Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?SELL0.91$91.00
10-04 20:21Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?SELL0.89$21.98
10-03 21:35Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.85$21.00
10-03 21:34Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.53$53.00
10-03 21:34Will Wales win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.26$26.00
10-03 21:33Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.46$46.00
10-03 21:32Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.46$46.00
10-03 21:32Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.6$60.00
10-03 19:55Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?SELL0.95$95.00
10-03 16:44Will England win on 2026-10-03?SELL0.983918946$196.41
10-03 14:54Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?SELL0.97$97.00
10-02 21:06Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.539999978$10.30