0xe3146f0d45bf382fbe49fc591a360fc365befa2c
0xe3146f0d45bf382fbe49fc591a360fc365befa2c
- Realised P&L
- $77.05
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 447
- Open portfolio
- $150.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded447
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.645 | $64.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.505 | $50.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.355 | $35.50 | +$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.91at 0.269Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$163.75at 0.458Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$113.22at 0.404Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?
- +$94.21at 0.444Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?
- +$86.66at 0.485Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:46 | Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 10-05 14:45 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 10-05 14:45 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 10-04 20:38 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 10-04 20:21 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.89 | $21.98 |
| 10-03 21:35 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.85 | $21.00 |
| 10-03 21:34 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 10-03 21:34 | Will Wales win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 10-03 21:33 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 10-03 21:32 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 10-03 21:32 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 10-03 19:55 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 10-03 16:44 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.983918946 | $196.41 |
| 10-03 14:54 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 10-02 21:06 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.539999978 | $10.30 |