0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679
0xe312101a6ea5c00821b74e2855c2674147b2e0b2
- Realised P&L
- $7.8k
- Volume
- $804.5k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $19.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.146Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$4.0kat 0.087US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$916.00at 0.422Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$670.65at 0.181Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$334.24at 0.139Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $182.00 |
| 09-09 05:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.279310104 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 05:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2760624386 | $1.0k |
| 09-09 05:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999998 | $75.00 |
| 09-09 04:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $21.83 |
| 09-08 14:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.29 | $780.33 |
| 09-08 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.2006516667 | $120.39 |
| 09-08 14:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $55.36 |
| 09-06 18:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2999999993 | $247.00 |
| 09-02 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 05:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.0k |
| 09-02 04:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.4k |
| 09-02 04:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.6k |