0xe30fd3c53419e2177a5ea6cda017e33085a1a756
0xe30fd3c53419e2177a5ea6cda017e33085a1a756
- Realised P&L
- $95.39
- Volume
- $882.62
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $18.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohankova vs. Wang: Match O/U 21.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.455 | $9.68 | −$0.96 |
| Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5) · Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 0.500 | 0.065 | $8.84 | −$59.18 |
| Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5 · Under | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.52 |
| Sean Tucker: 2+ Touchdowns · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.81 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.07 |
| Spread: Browns (-6.5) · Browns | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.38 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| Rovereto: Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva · Julia Avdeeva | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.37 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.31 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.52 |
| Antofagasta: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Boscardin Dias · Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.43at 0.010Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
- +$23.87at 0.156Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
- +$7.58at 0.500Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro
- +$5.10at 0.500Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
- +$-5.43at 0.500Predators vs. Maple Leafs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 20:10 | Spread: Browns (-6.5) | BUY | 0.025 | $2.38 |
| 10-08 15:46 | Sean Tucker: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.03 | $3.81 |
| 10-07 23:05 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.003 | $0.11 |
| 10-07 02:45 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.11 | $9.52 |
| 10-07 02:36 | Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $190.28 |
| 10-07 02:20 | Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 | BUY | 0.0089320388 | $0.92 |
| 10-07 01:19 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-07 00:04 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.15 | $4.76 |
| 10-07 00:02 | Predators vs. Maple Leafs | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 10-06 23:46 | Predators vs. Maple Leafs | SELL | 0.28 | $5.87 |
| 10-06 23:36 | Predators vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.29 | $6.08 |