garbage69
0xe30a2aa825987cca9e6b0e6c8e430ed9591508f5
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $422.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar36.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.951 | $422.48 | +$383.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.118Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | SELL | 0.96 | $99.45 |
| 10-18 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | SELL | 0.506 | $60.72 |
| 10-18 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | SELL | 0.5139017469 | $88.55 |
| 10-18 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | SELL | 0.52 | $21.29 |
| 10-18 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | SELL | 0.5022068738 | $189.96 |
| 10-18 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.15 | $13.24 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.134911734 | $91.74 |
| 10-18 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.12 | $14.40 |
| 10-18 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.1003410335 | $65.24 |
| 10-18 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.1250488355 | $41.61 |
| 10-18 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.12 | $28.56 |
| 10-18 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.1228840353 | $92.89 |
| 10-18 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0986294933 | $58.94 |