p01ym33rk4t
0xe3061dca08d4c68cda17fa4863032d89e2f8d100
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $235.8k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$918.00at 0.796Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$774.99at 0.229Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
- +$664.74at 0.814Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$525.00at 0.650Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$479.93at 0.520Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: Hull City AFC O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 12:58 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $245.81 |
| 10-22 11:32 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $170.43 |
| 10-22 11:31 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $37.44 |
| 10-10 14:34 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.63 | $37.80 |
| 07-11 22:18 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.384 | $1.2k |
| 07-02 01:53 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.988 | $988.00 |
| 06-18 21:22 | Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 06-18 21:01 | Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.31 | $26.69 |
| 06-18 00:59 | Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.081 | $24.24 |
| 06-18 00:58 | Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.05 | $25.00 |
| 06-17 23:22 | Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $420.00 |
| 05-30 11:27 | Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $26.22 |
| 05-30 11:26 | Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9643084635 | $91.38 |
| 05-30 11:24 | Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.494762576 | $255.53 |
| 05-29 14:16 | Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.9505494505 | $173.00 |