PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

p01ym33rk4t

0xe3061dca08d4c68cda17fa4863032d89e2f8d100

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$235.8k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.285$1.3k−$22.80
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.2700.285$695.40+$36.60
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.285$536.24−$47.04
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3000.275$517.42−$47.04
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.395$395.00−$215.00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.5700.540$287.61−$15.98
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.545$272.50−$12.50
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8900.972$33.99+$2.85
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5 · Over0.8600.000$0.00−$258.00
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00−$132.05
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5100.000$0.00−$255.00
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1720.000$0.00−$124.63
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$396.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 12:58Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.997$245.81
10-22 11:32Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$170.43
10-22 11:31Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$37.44
10-10 14:34Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.63$37.80
07-11 22:18Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.384$1.2k
07-02 01:53Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.988$988.00
06-18 21:22Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.31$1.55
06-18 21:01Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.31$26.69
06-18 00:59Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5SELL0.081$24.24
06-18 00:58Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5SELL0.05$25.00
06-17 23:22Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5BUY0.84$420.00
05-30 11:27Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?SELL0.02$26.22
05-30 11:26Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9643084635$91.38
05-30 11:24Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?BUY0.494762576$255.53
05-29 14:16Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?BUY0.9505494505$173.00