XX990
0xe30478e10059cc3a70a403e1a53d8ff9c7cd648d
- Realised P&L
- $107.30
- Volume
- $201.3k
- Markets traded
- 662
- Open portfolio
- $207.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded662
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 29? · No | 0.990 | 0.985 | $207.94 | −$1.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.76at 0.951Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?
- +$22.09at 0.820Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?
- +$17.22at 0.954Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?
- +$13.65at 0.929Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on March 27?
- +$11.21at 0.942Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $209.00 |
| 09-22 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9829999999 | $270.00 |
| 09-21 23:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $267.00 |
| 09-19 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9789164665 | $262.00 |
| 09-19 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9681564716 | $254.00 |
| 09-16 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $254.00 |
| 09-14 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $253.00 |
| 09-13 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $253.00 |
| 09-10 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.50 |
| 09-10 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.998494138 | $151.00 |
| 09-09 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $252.00 |
| 09-07 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.996960438 | $252.00 |
| 09-06 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.00 |
| 09-06 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.9986621001 | $188.00 |
| 09-05 00:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.00 |