PolyBot

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Traders

moonshadow123

0xe2ff09b33acbd2e968edf7a32ba4a76770e291dc

Realised P&L
$-531.62
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$93.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.5000.395$93.20−$24.78
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4500.001$0.04−$39.96
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage · PARIVISION0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? · Yes0.3870.000$0.00−$40.00
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) · Natus Vincere0.6060.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.5650.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$20.00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B · Team Falcons0.5700.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$40.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$100.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 14:23Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.5$117.98
10-28 14:21Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?SELL0.006$0.18
10-28 14:21Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.046$4.82
10-28 14:21Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.04$10.00
10-28 14:21Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.17$14.17
10-28 14:21Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$32.85
10-28 14:21GTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL0.9240091005$52.80
06-26 11:06Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.2099999984$100.00
04-28 13:02Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.477170657$50.00
04-17 10:19Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.3283581918$10.00
04-17 10:18Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.2700851645$20.00
04-17 10:18Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.45$9.00
04-17 10:17Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?BUY0.5399999943$38.90
04-17 10:15Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.04$10.00
04-17 10:13Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.0269999974$10.00