moonshadow123
0xe2ff09b33acbd2e968edf7a32ba4a76770e291dc
- Realised P&L
- $-531.62
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $93.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.21at 0.169Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$85.26at 0.190Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$77.65at 0.340Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?
- +$72.86at 0.490Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?
- +$63.75at 0.320Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 14:23 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.5 | $117.98 |
| 10-28 14:21 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.18 |
| 10-28 14:21 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.046 | $4.82 |
| 10-28 14:21 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 14:21 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.17 | $14.17 |
| 10-28 14:21 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $32.85 |
| 10-28 14:21 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.9240091005 | $52.80 |
| 06-26 11:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |
| 04-28 13:02 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.477170657 | $50.00 |
| 04-17 10:19 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.3283581918 | $10.00 |
| 04-17 10:18 | Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2700851645 | $20.00 |
| 04-17 10:18 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 04-17 10:17 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | BUY | 0.5399999943 | $38.90 |
| 04-17 10:15 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 04-17 10:13 | Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.0269999974 | $10.00 |