consenzus
0xe2fe514fa7d4f8353f6d300470eea49234410eaa
- Realised P&L
- $-68.81
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $24.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.16at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$4.65at 0.535Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$3.88at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 17?
- +$3.35at 0.665Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$2.76at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 16:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 10-23 15:05 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-23 14:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 10-23 14:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 10-23 13:33 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.6 | $25.80 |
| 10-22 09:32 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-22 09:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 10-22 09:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-22 08:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-22 07:41 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.465 | $2.79 |
| 10-22 07:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 10-22 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.16 |
| 10-22 07:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 10-18 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.875 | $4.42 |
| 10-18 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.5103720238 | $3.43 |