Inform
0xe2f8b68bd0d2a7ab1caef3a5f92154b864015696
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $351.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,079
- Open portfolio
- $1.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,079
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET
- +$2.0kat 0.362Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999902 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-17 14:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 14:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 00:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 07-01 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2207293534 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999956 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5355404086 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 19:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 19:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $29.70 |
| 07-01 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 07-01 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |