PolyBot

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Traders

kalugazalupa

0xe2e0c0c086c3fe0d3ca42ef31a83c0976ee3c05a

Realised P&L
$-2.81
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$1.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? · Yes0.7400.375$1.01−$0.99
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$2.00
Angels vs. Yankees · Yankees0.6400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 19:25Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
10-12 19:24Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.071$0.41
09-30 19:38Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
08-09 19:47Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
07-28 19:51Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.345999936$2.00
06-30 19:45Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
05-04 19:44 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.75$1.00
04-30 20:04World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
04-15 19:26Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?BUY0.5299997376$2.00
03-10 18:37Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?BUY0.7199997408$2.00
02-19 19:50Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.6899997205$2.00
01-20 19:11Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.859999914$1.00
01-20 19:10Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.88$2.00
01-20 19:10Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.86$2.18
12-30 16:42Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.7899996998$2.00