0xe2d81c9ea617fa21395b4a062c9b6c0235e7cf2d
- Realised P&L
- $-14.28
- Volume
- $82.97
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $88.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? · No | 0.965 | 0.940 | $19.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.988 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.955 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 19? · No | 0.975 | 0.978 | $10.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 19? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $9.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 18? · No | 0.960 | 0.950 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 19? · No | 0.970 | 0.910 | $9.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 19? · No | 0.968 | 0.885 | $9.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.39at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 17?
- +$0.39at 0.963Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 17?
- +$0.19at 0.982Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 05:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 04:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9609999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 04:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9679999985 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.975 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 17:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 17:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 17:15 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 16:46 | Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 16:31 | Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |