fireridlle
0xe2d4cc4de1b1204d4069d45123134b51fe4882e5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $306.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.26at 0.559Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$152.91at 0.351Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$126.61at 0.415Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?
- +$102.16at 0.370Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
- +$69.97at 0.300Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 19:24 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 10-18 09:45 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.265 | $2.65 |
| 10-18 09:44 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $18.38 |
| 10-17 20:43 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.099 | $1.78 |
| 10-17 20:41 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 20:40 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 10-17 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 10-17 20:23 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 10-15 19:32 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.119 | $21.15 |
| 10-15 19:31 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 05-16 22:29 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3396319004 | $80.00 |
| 05-16 14:58 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.4679999987 | $50.00 |
| 05-16 14:56 | Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 05-16 14:55 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999948 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 14:31 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.5866948956 | $901.00 |