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0xe2d1d4e673e954af33713e43f978aeb667597072
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $397.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $668.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.009 | $668.81 | −$514.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.641Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.0kat 0.261Will Biden pardon Fauci?
- +$767.59at 0.590Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$443.56at 0.748Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?
- +$313.88at 0.642Will Trump say "trans" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 19:06 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0151318614 | $500.23 |
| 07-23 04:08 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0205335659 | $5.36 |
| 07-23 04:08 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0253253805 | $158.03 |
| 04-13 00:09 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.04 | $207.83 |
| 04-12 21:00 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.039 | $468.00 |
| 04-12 20:59 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.04 | $107.39 |
| 03-09 06:46 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0179890266 | $683.58 |
| 03-09 06:45 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.017 | $629.00 |
| 03-09 06:12 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.017 | $136.00 |
| 03-09 06:12 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.03 |
| 02-18 22:43 | Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? | BUY | 0.789312 | $789.31 |
| 02-18 22:42 | Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? | BUY | 0.77 | $46.20 |
| 02-18 21:42 | Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025? | SELL | 0.34 | $13.35 |
| 02-18 21:37 | Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? | BUY | 0.35 | $694.26 |
| 02-18 20:51 | Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025? | BUY | 0.23 | $115.00 |