AlgoRock
0xe2cfa292c7912afb0e6fced87ab0fb48f41bef60
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $671.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.555 | $499.75 | −$22.51 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.110 | $171.94 | −$15.63 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.76 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.21at 0.820Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$82.33at 0.850Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$43.00at 0.570Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
- +$39.00at 0.610Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?
- +$23.00at 0.770Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.58 | $308.56 |
| 10-05 14:56 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? | BUY | 0.12 | $187.57 |
| 05-04 09:09 | Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 05-04 08:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? | BUY | 0.21 | $16.80 |
| 05-04 08:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May? | BUY | 0.91 | $72.80 |
| 05-01 23:04 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 05-01 23:04 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.85 | $82.67 |
| 03-11 12:51 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 01-28 12:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.82 | $561.30 |
| 11-03 07:26 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.437 | $87.40 |
| 10-25 09:37 | Will Trump say "weed" on The Joe Rogan Experience? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 10:48 | Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024? | BUY | 0.23 | $40.76 |
| 10-22 18:14 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BUY | 0.482 | $91.68 |
| 10-22 18:13 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BUY | 0.475 | $23.75 |
| 10-22 18:12 | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BUY | 0.482 | $192.80 |