PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lw-mm-lp

0xe2cecb6a6a0f73890e344924fc2278d66089aec5

Realised P&L
$-710.95
Volume
$59.1k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$28.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 30? · No0.4150.465$13.79+$1.47
Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · Yes0.2380.185$10.64$3.08
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2960.245$3.08$0.64
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3770.480$1.44+$0.31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 8? · Down0.3650.000$0.00$18.61
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 8? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00$20.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 15:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 8?SELL0.6282481029$19.04
09-08 15:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 8?SELL0.28$0.89
09-07 03:11Will MrBeast's latest video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?SELL0.25261$5.05
07-24 07:12S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?SELL0.3476113575$52.52
07-24 05:37S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?SELL0.57$7.50
07-24 05:26S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?SELL0.58$9.70
07-22 12:36S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?SELL0.6918487706$37.42
07-22 11:41S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?SELL0.27$33.39
07-22 07:06S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?SELL0.28$25.16
07-22 04:16S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?SELL0.49$24.50
07-21 08:44S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?SELL0.18$3.29
07-21 03:49S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?SELL0.22$10.85
07-20 07:05S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?SELL0.4$0.78
07-10 09:22S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?SELL0.5418942154$37.19
07-10 07:08S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?SELL0.366400704$12.49