Rom14
0xe2cca636104b6b2216750e6f1aa9ba143ee00b10
- Realised P&L
- $189.44
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $494.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? · No | 0.985 | 0.990 | $494.74 | +$2.25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.62at 0.975Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
- +$23.27at 0.931Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?
- +$18.36at 0.196Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
- +$14.44at 0.987Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?
- +$14.21at 0.955Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 17:12 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? | SELL | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 08-27 17:12 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August? | SELL | 0.999 | $145.16 |
| 08-24 19:17 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 08-12 15:39 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? | BUY | 0.987 | $29.61 |
| 08-10 16:53 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August? | BUY | 0.988 | $490.00 |
| 08-10 16:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.38 | $40.00 |
| 08-09 17:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 08-09 17:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.2399999942 | $25.00 |
| 08-09 10:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $519.31 |
| 08-08 09:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August? | BUY | 0.986 | $650.00 |
| 08-04 17:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9579999999 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9899999099 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $11.00 |
| 08-02 13:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9778999185 | $3.0k |