0xe2cc7999bfdd4cbe1e0bbdaa32840c5e0b10893c
- Realised P&L
- $-55.3k
- Volume
- $1.74M
- Markets traded
- 3,269
- Open portfolio
- $11.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,269
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - European Pro League Group A · Dawn Bulls | 0.640 | 0.495 | $9.55 | −$2.80 |
| Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group B · Kalmychata | 0.280 | 0.270 | $2.20 | −$0.08 |
| Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs · FlyQuest RED | 0.160 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.206Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
- +$2.2kat 0.358Pistons vs. Magic
- +$2.0kat 0.343Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9?
- +$1.8kat 0.275Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- +$1.8kat 0.279Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:06 | Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs | BUY | 0.16 | $3.18 |
| 09-17 23:02 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group B | BUY | 0.28 | $2.28 |
| 09-17 14:25 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.028 | $0.56 |
| 09-17 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-17 14:08 | Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage | BUY | 0.3723273657 | $7.28 |
| 09-17 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.58 |
| 09-17 12:19 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.24 | $71.14 |
| 09-17 12:14 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $2.38 |
| 09-17 12:14 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.46 | $133.08 |
| 09-17 12:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.39 |
| 09-17 11:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.84 | $70.11 |
| 09-17 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.19 |
| 09-17 09:11 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.18 |
| 09-17 08:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.55 |
| 09-17 04:50 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.07 | $6.97 |