0xE2B7BD9d5CD68f8728B8BC8d99474E6419347a30-1733306628647
0xe2b7bd9d5cd68f8728b8bc8d99474e6419347a30
- Realised P&L
- $-40.67
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $29.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 22? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.993 | $29.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.993Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.992Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
- +$0.23at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 23?
- +$0.22at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 20:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 04:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.9979999851 | $43.50 |
| 10-16 04:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.9946684438 | $15.00 |
| 10-12 18:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.996 | $26.00 |
| 10-08 10:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.996772944 | $43.90 |
| 10-07 16:43 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999677 | $12.00 |
| 10-05 15:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9975012469 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 03:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $43.20 |
| 09-29 20:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999697 | $26.00 |
| 09-29 19:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.9959999903 | $27.00 |
| 09-26 14:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.00 |
| 09-24 17:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.995 | $28.00 |
| 09-23 18:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.9969999932 | $38.30 |
| 09-20 01:34 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.996 | $37.50 |
| 09-17 15:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9969999926 | $29.00 |