barnettnatalie
0xe2b6239b3dec92169df6810b54656d5371bc256c
- Realised P&L
- $17.55
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $10.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.260 | 0.255 | $4.29 | −$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.235 | $3.56 | +$0.36 |
| Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · No | 0.790 | 0.610 | $3.04 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.39at 0.480Rockets vs. Thunder
- +$19.45at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 9?
- +$19.19at 0.532Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
- +$16.07at 0.471Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?
- +$14.99at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999893 | $4.37 |
| 09-26 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.2114114063 | $3.20 |
| 09-21 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6499999969 | $20.70 |
| 09-18 14:14 | Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.7899999639 | $3.94 |
| 09-18 14:13 | SMU vs. Louisville | BUY | 0.5399999649 | $6.77 |
| 09-16 05:47 | Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.26 |
| 09-16 05:45 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.6699999922 | $20.72 |
| 09-13 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.3345372742 | $15.31 |
| 09-09 08:55 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.62 |
| 09-09 08:53 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.619999995 | $24.58 |
| 09-05 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.6599999988 | $11.21 |
| 09-02 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.510443162 | $10.49 |
| 08-30 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 31? | BUY | 0.3239113652 | $2.66 |
| 08-27 16:39 | Cardinals vs. Packers | BUY | 0.5 | $27.36 |
| 08-25 19:43 | Portland Fire vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.2299999631 | $4.68 |