0xe2b5e97e130ee67612406b8a1ed3337a14ddcfd6
0xe2b5e97e130ee67612406b8a1ed3337a14ddcfd6
- Realised P&L
- $8.96
- Volume
- $89.32
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) · Seahawks | 0.750 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$26.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.08at 0.480Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$5.10at 0.708Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?
- +$3.19at 0.646Spread: Poland (-1.5)
- +$-7.41at 0.656Andorra vs. Malta: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:52 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $27.00 |
| 09-26 10:53 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4499999871 | $7.00 |
| 09-25 16:07 | Spread: Poland (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6099999623 | $5.50 |
| 09-24 17:09 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6699999834 | $11.70 |
| 09-24 11:09 | Andorra vs. Malta: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.619999977 | $7.00 |