PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shuizhao

0xe2b54d476205e23a93388752da3d910430e000d3

Realised P&L
$-1.86
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$14.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9980.996$12.28−$0.02
Harvard vs. Brown · Harvard0.8200.825$2.48+$0.01
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.0510.000$0.00−$9.60
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 17? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 10? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.998$12.30
09-25 13:01Harvard vs. BrownBUY0.82$2.46
08-01 06:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1?BUY0.999$14.80
06-07 12:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?BUY0.9989999902$93.00
05-28 06:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?BUY0.9989999902$93.00
05-22 12:42Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?BUY0.9989999902$93.00
05-17 07:49Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?BUY0.9989999902$93.00
05-12 08:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?BUY0.999$93.00
05-07 09:06Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?BUY0.9979999972$93.00
05-03 09:58Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.999$93.00
04-26 03:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?BUY0.9989999902$92.99
04-22 12:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?BUY0.998$91.97
04-17 12:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?BUY0.999$91.99
04-14 07:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 15?BUY0.999$91.99
04-09 11:23Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.999$91.99