0xe2b1e9fbff6a1d4a208bb9ac925d8006c92d5e15
0xe2b1e9fbff6a1d4a208bb9ac925d8006c92d5e15
- Realised P&L
- $-14.93
- Volume
- $123.50
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21? · Up | 0.610 | 0.745 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$1.96at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.522Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?
- +$1.36at 0.602Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 09:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 23:42 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 13:26 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3129999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:16 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 07:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 07:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 23:43 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:08 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 01:26 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:29 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 01:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 07-25 13:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2539998996 | $1.69 |
| 07-25 01:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.449999904 | $1.64 |