kari44
0xe29c9c4a90a54d9300556098e676551bec8c9d05
- Realised P&L
- $-53.92
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $20.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · Yes | 0.607 | 0.631 | $17.58 | +$0.67 |
| Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? · No | 0.630 | 0.070 | $2.56 | −$20.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.41at 0.999U.S. recession before May 2025?
- +$1.75at 0.827Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$0.21at 0.990Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?
- +$0.14at 0.993Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July?
- +$0.13at 0.990Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 21:32 | Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? | BUY | 0.6299999926 | $23.04 |
| 10-03 22:59 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.30 |
| 01-31 14:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.8449999639 | $14.51 |
| 01-30 16:05 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $6.21 |
| 01-30 15:59 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.54 |
| 01-30 14:58 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.41 |
| 01-30 14:11 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999743 | $26.18 |
| 12-30 09:08 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.78 |
| 12-30 08:23 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999006 | $5.60 |
| 12-30 08:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999643 | $12.86 |
| 12-30 01:24 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $7.66 |
| 12-29 23:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999745 | $14.14 |
| 12-29 20:06 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999809 | $32.53 |
| 10-30 23:39 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.70 |
| 10-30 22:57 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.64 |