PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trades135

0xe29a76c88e8c2058a7cfa3c1b2c12c50cd67c56f

Realised P&L
$188.19
Volume
$46.9k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$587.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.7701.000$222.77+$51.24
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.1400.555$156.51+$117.03
Blue tsunami in 2026? · No0.6800.505$101.00$35.00
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.3061.000$83.00+$57.60
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes0.1700.082$24.60$26.40
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90? · No0.5200.000$0.00$13.52
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January? · Yes0.3330.000$0.00$90.40
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$3.59
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$10.40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00$84.00
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$18.96
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? · No0.2300.000$0.00$11.50
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$8.00
US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00$15.70
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$43.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-16 15:54Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?SELL0.84$24.00
03-18 17:40Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?BUY0.605583$60.56
03-18 12:07Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?BUY0.6064516129$37.60
03-17 12:25Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?BUY0.0584670769$3.80
03-17 12:24Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?BUY0.0528527103$5.66
03-17 09:22Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?BUY0.52$13.52
03-17 09:22Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?BUY0.5131044776$34.38
03-16 16:53Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?BUY0.58$6.38
03-16 16:52Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?BUY0.536792976$29.04
03-16 16:17Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?BUY0.109475$43.79
03-16 16:15Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?SELL0.5544266667$8.32
03-16 16:15Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?SELL0.231600128$28.95
03-11 09:14Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?BUY0.0678421875$4.34
03-09 21:43Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?BUY0.15$30.00
03-09 21:38Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.19$95.00