trades135
0xe29a76c88e8c2058a7cfa3c1b2c12c50cd67c56f
- Realised P&L
- $188.19
- Volume
- $46.9k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $587.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$275.03at 0.283Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
- +$267.57at 0.025Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?
- +$219.07at 0.392Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
- +$180.00at 0.100Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$141.35at 0.399Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 15:54 | Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $24.00 |
| 03-18 17:40 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80? | BUY | 0.605583 | $60.56 |
| 03-18 12:07 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80? | BUY | 0.6064516129 | $37.60 |
| 03-17 12:25 | Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | BUY | 0.0584670769 | $3.80 |
| 03-17 12:24 | Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | BUY | 0.0528527103 | $5.66 |
| 03-17 09:22 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90? | BUY | 0.52 | $13.52 |
| 03-17 09:22 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80? | BUY | 0.5131044776 | $34.38 |
| 03-16 16:53 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80? | BUY | 0.58 | $6.38 |
| 03-16 16:52 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80? | BUY | 0.536792976 | $29.04 |
| 03-16 16:17 | Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109475 | $43.79 |
| 03-16 16:15 | Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5544266667 | $8.32 |
| 03-16 16:15 | Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.231600128 | $28.95 |
| 03-11 09:14 | Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | BUY | 0.0678421875 | $4.34 |
| 03-09 21:43 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 03-09 21:38 | Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $95.00 |