TommyFules
0xe2918b89f057b1950b22998e564ce06649af3b09
- Realised P&L
- $-279.65
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $361.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.20at 0.193Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.67at 0.154Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$12.63at 0.627World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
- +$7.50at 0.800Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$5.64at 0.780Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 16:32 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.005 | $17.85 |
| 08-10 16:32 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.0649350819 | $19.39 |
| 08-10 16:30 | Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0265415668 | $25.04 |
| 08-10 16:29 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.739 | $26.06 |
| 07-16 18:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4169999957 | $47.70 |
| 07-16 18:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.583 | $49.61 |
| 07-08 15:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999926 | $16.00 |
| 07-08 15:13 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1589999936 | $17.00 |
| 06-29 14:50 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $19.00 |
| 06-29 11:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2089999951 | $26.00 |
| 06-29 11:27 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.013 | $8.03 |
| 06-19 15:15 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.073 | $39.11 |
| 06-18 19:57 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1289999952 | $21.00 |
| 06-16 19:00 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.64 | $22.07 |
| 06-11 20:23 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999938 | $14.70 |