bluecable
0xe286489c3d27668a420e72aa78b96db06360bb11
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $170.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.075 | $3.5k | −$15.1k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.055 | $448.94 | −$2.0k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.6kat 0.736Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.9kat 0.700Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.610US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$415.45at 0.360US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$-1.3kat 0.530Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 23:28 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.299738225 | $2.3k |
| 03-15 01:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.8k |
| 03-15 01:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.6k |
| 03-14 09:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.3436544441 | $2.5k |
| 03-12 13:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.5396880972 | $3.3k |
| 03-12 08:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.4699795299 | $229.59 |
| 03-12 08:19 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.4355363838 | $2.4k |
| 03-12 08:19 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.7400345267 | $11.1k |
| 03-09 00:53 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.6k |
| 03-07 15:07 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.1999998055 | $400.00 |
| 03-07 14:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4499740154 | $2.9k |
| 03-07 10:27 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6695117001 | $4.0k |
| 03-07 08:08 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $187.57 |
| 03-07 07:16 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $29.03 |
| 09-14 00:02 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.7k |