PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bluecable

0xe286489c3d27668a420e72aa78b96db06360bb11

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$170.7k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4000.075$3.5k$15.1k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.2990.055$448.94$2.0k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.1930.000$0.00$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-18 23:28Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.299738225$2.3k
03-15 01:13Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.39$4.8k
03-15 01:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.38$4.6k
03-14 09:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.3436544441$2.5k
03-12 13:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.5396880972$3.3k
03-12 08:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.4699795299$229.59
03-12 08:19US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.4355363838$2.4k
03-12 08:19US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.7400345267$11.1k
03-09 00:53US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.57$3.6k
03-07 15:07Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.1999998055$400.00
03-07 14:37Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4499740154$2.9k
03-07 10:27US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.6695117001$4.0k
03-07 08:08Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.19$187.57
03-07 07:16US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.36$29.03
09-14 00:02Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?BUY0.7$6.7k