0xe281fe3fcf9ae3ba5b76ebec2d21f13d5c998104
0xe281fe3fcf9ae3ba5b76ebec2d21f13d5c998104
- Realised P&L
- $154.75
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $95.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chig Okonkwo score the first touchdown? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.215 | $58.50 | −$77.55 |
| Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.554 | $33.61 | +$3.30 |
| Antonio Williams: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.045 | $3.46 | −$35.00 |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.29 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.85 |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.30 |
| Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra · Solana Sierra | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) · Spurs | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles · Seattle Mariners | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.54 |
| Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5) · Shelton | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.20 |
| Raiders vs. Chargers · Chargers | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.35 |
| Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.53 |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Panthers | 0.534 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.65 |
| Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonseca · Ruud | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.56at 0.138Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$109.59at 0.237Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$46.69at 0.245UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$45.26at 0.316Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
- +$34.87at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:36 | Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.1 | $14.29 |
| 09-20 22:52 | Raiders vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.02 | $6.35 |
| 09-13 17:06 | Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $13.93 |
| 09-13 17:05 | Spread: Bears (-3.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $14.49 |
| 09-13 16:28 | Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.5099999868 | $14.71 |
| 09-13 15:45 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.31 | $14.53 |
| 09-05 23:34 | 1H Spread: LSU (-6.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $24.57 |
| 07-10 23:27 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999924 | $9.90 |
| 07-10 23:25 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5799999801 | $9.89 |
| 07-10 23:25 | Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5 | $9.90 |
| 07-08 04:47 | Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.5299999839 | $14.85 |
| 07-07 17:14 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6299999952 | $24.75 |
| 07-06 18:49 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999939 | $24.75 |
| 06-25 23:52 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.3779999869 | $14.85 |
| 06-25 03:08 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5199999888 | $14.85 |