0xe2802fce9d853c8d169e167328502dd0dae588c6
0xe2802fce9d853c8d169e167328502dd0dae588c6
- Realised P&L
- $-6.97
- Volume
- $144.75
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $17.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.495 | $9.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.160 | $4.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $2.57 | −$0.05 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.03at 0.553Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$2.97at 0.779Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?
- +$-5.40at 0.195Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?
- +$-12.57at 0.728Will France win on 2026-10-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:19 | Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999927 | $2.62 |
| 10-10 22:18 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 21:35 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $9.95 |
| 10-02 21:34 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:33 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 16:30 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6899999826 | $11.91 |
| 10-02 16:29 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 12:31 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999778 | $9.35 |