0xE27d49869c750e99E63a9cFE9F8eBf4540A08B94-1781270946074
0xe27d49869c750e99e63a9cfe9f8ebf4540a08b94
- Realised P&L
- $-174.06
- Volume
- $884.47
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $52.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.635 | $27.85 | +$2.85 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.345 | $15.45 | +$1.11 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.170 | $9.45 | −$10.55 |
| World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-9.43at 0.350Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$-30.00at 0.234US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$-78.56at 0.379US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 09:25 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699999918 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 09:22 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $45.57 |
| 06-14 17:33 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.3566541221 | $43.56 |
| 06-14 17:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999962 | $55.00 |
| 06-14 17:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $14.33 |
| 06-14 17:14 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.2335652766 | $30.00 |
| 06-14 17:12 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.4099999963 | $35.00 |
| 06-12 16:15 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.3596650159 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 16:02 | World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties? | BUY | 0.5500512903 | $49.50 |