Dar1us
0xe278e3c172e37d91190476012625829008f0b608
- Realised P&L
- $18.5k
- Volume
- $5.74M
- Markets traded
- 1,148
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,148
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.9kat 0.780Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
- +$8.4kat 0.059Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?
- +$8.4kat 0.849US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
- +$4.6kat 0.522Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?
- +$3.7kat 0.961Was Trump hacked?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 08:14 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.6543455534 | $189.02 |
| 07-23 05:33 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.7035927058 | $3.9k |
| 07-22 05:04 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.8067780252 | $1.1k |
| 07-22 05:03 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.78 | $93.51 |
| 07-22 05:02 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.78260756 | $317.60 |
| 07-22 05:02 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.7515128147 | $1.5k |
| 07-21 05:51 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8419145957 | $883.87 |
| 07-21 05:48 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.8646804705 | $1.6k |
| 07-20 07:18 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.8472996162 | $618.11 |
| 07-19 04:56 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8721516879 | $3.1k |
| 07-19 04:45 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | SELL | 0.8607371037 | $1.4k |
| 07-13 06:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $1.0k |
| 07-13 06:39 | Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8697582126 | $2.8k |
| 07-13 06:35 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14? | BUY | 0.9502950447 | $2.6k |
| 07-13 06:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.996 | $10.0k |